The Canadian Housing Market Ends 2024 On a Weak Note   Home sales activity recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems softened in December, falling 5.8% compared to November. However, they were still 13% above their level in May, just before the Bank of Canada began cutting interest rates. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw sales up […]

Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report in December   Today’s Labour Force Survey for December was much stronger than expected, as many thought the Canada Post strike would have a larger impact. Employment rose by 90,900 net new jobs last month, and the employment rate—the proportion of the population aged 15 and older who are employed— increased by 0.2 percentage […]

  It’s a new year and as we gear up for the upcoming Spring season, it is a good idea to take a look at the market outlook and what we are expecting to see around housing sales, prices, interest rates, and how these current conditions affect buyers versus sellers! Let’s dive into the Canadian […]

This story is taken from Global News   Imagine it: You buy a house, and the bank offers you a single rate of interest that will keep your mortgage payments steady for the next 30 years. Pay it off early if you like, by the way: no big penalties to fear. And if interest rates drop sharply, you can […]

Good News On The Inflation Front   The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.9% year-over-year (y/y) in November, down from a 2.0% increase in October. Slower price growth was broad-based, with prices for travel tours and the mortgage interest cost index contributing the most to the deceleration. Excluding gasoline, the all-items CPI rose 2.0% in November, following a 2.2% gain […]

Chrystia Freeland Resigns On The Day of The Fall Economic Statement   Finance Minister Freeland rocked markets today by submitting her resignation from Cabinet. Trudeau had asked her to take another Cabinet post, but she declined in a scathing letter accusing Trudeau of “costly political gimmicks” like “bribe-us-with-our-own-money cheques for $250 and a two-month GST holiday. […]

The Canadian Housing Market Strengthens Further   Home sales activity recorded over Canadian MLS® Systems rose again in November, building on October’s surprise jump. Sales were up 2.8% m/m in November compared to October and now stand a cumulative 18.4% above where they were in May, just before the first interest rate cut in early […]

The Surge In Canadian Unemployment Keeps Another Jumbo Rate Cut In Play In December   The BoC slashed the overnight rate by 50 bps this morning, bringing the policy rate down to 3.25%. The market had priced in nearly 90% odds of a 50 bp move, where consensus coalesced. The combined slower-than-expected GDP growth and a sharp […]

The Surge In Canadian Unemployment Keeps Another Jumbo Rate Cut In Play In December   Before the release of today’s Canadian Labour Force Data, the odds favoured a 25 basis point drop in the overnight policy rate when the Bank of Canada meets again on December 11th. The data showed more substantial than expected job […]

October Inflation Rose to 2.0% As Gasoline Price Declines Were More Muted   The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.0% year-over-year in October, up from a 1.6% increase in September. Gasoline prices fell to a lesser extent in October (-4.0%) compared with September (-10.7%). The all-items CPI, excluding gasoline, rose 2.2% in October, the same […]